Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.056611 0.061302 0.066040 0.071179 0.076587 0.082102 0.088145
2025-04-20 0.048757 0.055590 0.062729 0.070719 0.079384 0.088470 0.098694
2025-04-27 0.043330 0.051734 0.060779 0.071178 0.082743 0.095150 0.109410
2025-05-04 0.039580 0.049252 0.059939 0.072514 0.086799 0.102417 0.120680
2025-05-11 0.037056 0.047846 0.060049 0.074700 0.091645 0.110467 0.132789
2025-05-18 0.032293 0.043439 0.056367 0.072229 0.090926 0.112035 0.137439
2025-05-25 0.029272 0.040854 0.054595 0.071776 0.092360 0.115924 0.144627
2025-06-01 0.026657 0.038559 0.052988 0.071352 0.093689 0.119585 0.151477
2025-06-08 0.025583 0.038101 0.053546 0.073483 0.098021 0.126751 0.162434
2025-06-15 0.024272 0.037234 0.053508 0.074810 0.101336 0.132690 0.171948
2025-06-22 0.022867 0.036139 0.053097 0.075603 0.103947 0.137758 0.180423
2025-06-29 0.021233 0.034628 0.052059 0.075524 0.105417 0.141406 0.187177
2025-07-06 0.020388 0.034182 0.052423 0.077279 0.109255 0.148056 0.197724
2025-07-13 0.018662 0.032399 0.050930 0.076564 0.109936 0.150815 0.203554
2025-07-20 0.017473 0.031306 0.050304 0.076933 0.111963 0.155224 0.211414
2025-07-27 0.016722 0.030801 0.050439 0.078282 0.115234 0.161184 0.221203
2025-08-03 0.016333 0.030809 0.051268 0.080554 0.119710 0.168680 0.232940
2025-08-10 0.014421 0.028375 0.048559 0.077935 0.117712 0.167944 0.234381
2025-08-17 0.013310 0.027110 0.047451 0.077450 0.118478 0.170684 0.240154
2025-08-24 0.012295 0.025929 0.046405 0.076999 0.119249 0.173405 0.245893
2025-08-31 0.012086 0.026053 0.047276 0.079242 0.123649 0.180825 0.257625
2025-09-07 0.011665 0.025795 0.047558 0.080639 0.126907 0.186779 0.267522
2025-09-14 0.011126 0.025302 0.047459 0.081474 0.129392 0.191733 0.276161